All, I have rated my top 7 QB’s in the 2013 NFL Draft below. These ratings reflect the QB’s best fit, given their skill set AND what round they will be selected in.
1. Matt Barkley- Cleveland Browns
How this will happen? Barkley is a pro style passer and Mike Lombardi (Browns GM) is an “old school guy” who believes that the pro style QB is still the way to go. No other QB in this draft ranks higher in that skill set than Barkley.
Side note: Many believe Barkley would have been the 4th pick overall if he had come out last year.
2. Ryan Nassib- Buffalo Bills
How this will happen? Nassib is also a pro style passer with strong athletic ability/strength. With Nassib’s knowledge of Doug Marrone’s system, the transition would be easy. Even though some have him projected as a possible 8th pick overall based on his relationship with Marrone, I don’t believe that even Bills can take him that high. My guess is that Bills will trade down for additional picks or trade back in to the latter part of the first round for Nassib.
Side note: The next two QB’s on my list are a toss up in terms of how the QB position is being played today. Personally, I would give more upside to EJ Manuel, but that is open for debate. The real hand of poker will be played between the Eagles and the Raiders. If these are truely the two QB’s they covet, expect one to possibly sneak back into the first round. With this scenario, I would guess that Geno Smith will be taken in the first by the Eagles. (Below is my prediction based on each team moving forward with their original picks).
3. Geno Smith-Oakland Raiders
4. EJ Manuel-Philadelphia Eagles
5. Tyler Wilson-Kansas City Chiefs
How this will happen? Pro Style guy that I assume reminds Andy Reid a lot of Nick Foles. I think if Wilson had come out last year, he may have been a first rounder.
6. Landry Jones-Jacksonville Jaguars
How this can happen? Big guy, big arm, and great pocket awareness. First round talent but lacked signature wins in his college career.
7. Tyler Bray-San Diego Chargers
How this will happen? First round talent with a few drawbacks: questionable leadership skills and maturity. Given the chance to go back to his hometown and learn from Philip Rivers could do wonders for his future NFL career.
I’m always open for comments and questions…
Check out today’s Bleacher Report article; “QB Guru’s Sound Off on QB Draft Class.” By Josh Gleason
Thank you Bleacherreport.com and Josh for including my thoughts and evaluation.
Several months ago, I wrote about the impact a proper game plan can have for quarterback prospects heading into the draft. I also noted some of the more important things to add to their “to do successfully “checklist. At this time, I’d like to give my most recent report on how a few of the top QB prospects performed, and how their preparation affected them.
I thought Geno did the best overall. Smith was the top QB heading into the draft and didn’t do anything to drop from his spot. However, he may not go as early as people thought due to free agency signings, and recent trades to “quarterback hungry teams”. For the most part, Smith’s workouts were solid, but he did leave many pundits questioning his ability to grasp NFL offenses. I find this a bit premature, and feel that if given the right situation, Smith has a chance to be a solid NFL Quarterback.
Notes to consider for Geno Smith: (Strong arm, has shown the ability to throw a variety of touch passes, teams must be careful in thinking he is the next Kaepernick….Smith is not nearly the athlete.)
This one is a little closer to home so it’s a bit difficult to say the following. I think the world of Matt and he’ll go down as one of the greatest quarterbacks in school’s history, but clearly not the best (when compared to former Trojan alums such as Matt Leinart and Carson Palmer). I make this statement based off of what these players brought to USC Football. Palmer and Leinart will always get higher marks due to their outstanding achievements i.e. Heisman Trophy winners and National Championships, (and of course, ultimately they were 1st rounders in the NFL Draft). I wish I could say this about Barkley, but his senior season and his Pro Day workout would make that a “reach” at this point.
Notes to consider for Matt Barkley: (4 years starting quarterback for both programs he played with i.e. Mater Dei HS (first 4 year starter) and USC , despite senior year…he should not be undervalued, Barkley is an intelligent player and has a ”Manning” like control & feel for the game)
This guy could be a sleeper in this year’s draft class. Nassib has a very strong arm with Steve Young like athleticism. While in college, Nassib lead his undermanned Syracuse football team to a bowl game in 2012. He ended his college career breaking the school total passing yards record (9,060), pass completions (780), and passing yards per game (201.3). Clearly, with this much talent, the early 2nd round if not late 1st would be a realistic choice for someone of his skill set and upside.
Notes to Consider for Ryan Nassib: (He may be a steal in the 2nd round, his old coach from Syracuse, Doug Marrone is now head coach for Bills, Nassib has a gunslinger mentality similar to a famous 2nd rounder who played for the Packers…Brett Favre ring a name??)
Unfortunately and interestingly, the best quarterback in this draft may be a veteran. If all indicators are correct about the Philadelphia Eagles leaning towards drafting Geno Smith with their 1st round pick, then Nick Foles will be a hot prospect! Remember Matt Hasselback’s early career? Matt started his career in Green Bay before he was traded to Seattle and there his Pro Bowl career began!
On the surface this quarterback draft class appears to be weak, but I’m betting that after all the dust is settled…these guys will be solid productive starting quarterbacks in the NFL……. in the very near future.
It was only a few years ago when the New York Jets had unveiled a promising bright new star. He was the player formerly known as the “Sanchize.”
Yes I know…he was only completing 54.9% of his passes, but he was also doing something very few rookie QB’s in NFL would accomplish and that was to lead his team within one game of the Super Bowl. He was the next Broadway Joe…he was Mark Sanchez, or as rabid Jets fans would call him…Mark Sanchize. That was THEN this is NOW…
The same quarterback with so much promise is now just a shadow of himself. A broken spirited quarterback with very little support. The good news is it’s not too late to rectify this situation.
- If I may, I would like to take this time and be NFL Commissioner for the day-
- My first order of business would be to summon the owners of the New York Jets and the Jacksonville Jaguars to my NFL office. The purpose of this meeting would be to remind them the importance of “The Shield,” as the #1 global brand. My job as the NFL commissioner is to make sure that the shield comes first, and what makes good business for the shield is that both the Jets and the Jaguars are profitable.
- It is a proven fact that not having an established starting quarterback diminishes the franchise, thus harming the shield as a brand. Therefore, I would void the contract of David Garrard effective immediately. Letting go of Garrard will let the Jets re-establish what was working so well a few years back.
- I would then show the Jaguars an aerial view of their empty stadium on game day, which is not good business for anyone or any franchise.
- I will then do what my great predecessor (Rodger Goodell) did when he hand walked an extraordinary quarterback talent, Mike Vick to the Philadelphia Eagles. He knew the Eagles Organization was the proper setting for him to succeed upon being released from prison, and that he did. So, in a round about way I would apply the simple process of “step and repeat”.
- I would order Tim Tebow immediate free agency with the condition of him signing with the Jaguars. Being a hometown hero of Jacksonville, a proven winner, and true competitor this would solve the empty stadium issues and give the good people of Jacksonville something to hang their hats on…some HOPE.
Now back to what I do as a Quarterback Coach. When I trained Tim a month or so ago, I came away telling myself one thing….. despite what others may argue…i.e. running back, fullback, wedge breaker, yada yada yada, he is A QUARTERBACK….. and if given the right setting, he WILL win.